Toncoin’s price dropped by 18.3% in July, reaching $6.65 due to a weak market. The current price movement has created a triangle shape, which may indicate a future price change.
Since last weekend, Toncoin’s price has been slow but stable above $6.5. This support level matches the lower trendline of the triangle pattern, making it an attractive point for buyers. However, with decreasing interest and pressure from the wider market, there’s a risk that this support might fail, leading to a significant price drop.
This bearish trend has caused TON’s price to consolidate, forming a triangle pattern. Over the past two months, the converging trendlines have tightened TON’s price range, setting the stage for a major breakout.

Regarding the current uptrend, the chart setup should give buyers a temporary pause to regain strength. With a daily gain of 0.76%, Toncoin’s price is showing signs of a reversal from the triangle support, aiming for a fresh breakout.
On the other hand, Toncoin’s price is still struggling to rebound from the triangle support, indicating weak buyer confidence. A recent bearish crossover between the 20-day and 50-day EMAs could increase the downward momentum for the triangle pattern.
Additionally, TON futures open interest saw a significant drop in July, according to Coinglass. The open interest fell by about 25.32%, decreasing from $353.5 million to $264 million.
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This significant decrease suggests reduced trading activity and investor interest in TON futures, indicating waning market confidence or a shift in investments to other assets.
As a result, a potential breakdown from the triangle could increase selling pressure and may cause Toncoin’s price to drop to $0.6.
Key Takeaway
The near-term trend for Toncoin remains sideways as the triangle pattern develops. With open interest declining, sellers might try to break through the lower trendline, potentially triggering a new correction.
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